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MVO stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

MV Oil Trust is a statutory trust... Show more

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A.I.Advisor
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A.I.Advisor
Aug 13, 2026

Why MV Oil Trust (MVO) Stock Is Down -59% in the Last 30 Days

Key Takeaways

  • MV Oil Trust units declined approximately 58.9% during the 30-day period ended July 24, 2026, falling from a closing price of $1.45 on June 24, 2026, to a final NYSE close of $0.5955.
  • The move was driven by the trust's planned termination, including a final distribution of $0.593844 per unit and the wind-up of the underlying net profits interest.
  • NYSE due-bill rules applied from July 15 through July 24, 2026, because the final distribution exceeded 25% of the unit price when announced.
  • Trading in MVO units was expected to end before market open on July 27, 2026, with no further distributions after the final payout.
  • Over the broader quarter, units fell approximately 76.6%, extending a structural decline as the trust approached its contractual termination date.

MV Oil Trust (MVO) Company Overview and Market Position

MV Oil Trust is a Delaware statutory trust that held a term net profits interest in oil and natural gas properties located in Kansas and Colorado, with The Bank of New York Mellon Trust Company, N.A. serving as trustee. The trust received 80% of the net proceeds from production on the underlying properties, which are operated by MV Partners, LLC, and distributed substantially all available cash to unitholders on a quarterly basis. Because it was a passive, finite-life royalty vehicle rather than an operating energy company, its unit value was tied to remaining production, realized commodity prices, and the expected stream of future distributions.

MV Oil Trust (MVO) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter

Over the 30-day period ended July 24, 2026, MVO units fell from $1.45 at the close on June 24, 2026, to $0.5955 at the final NYSE close on July 24, 2026, a decline of approximately 58.9%. The move accelerated after the July 2, 2026 announcement that the quarterly payment would be the trust's final distribution and that the NYSE listing would be withdrawn. On July 6, 2026, the first full trading session after that announcement, units closed at $0.7963, down 52.6% from $1.68 on July 2. During the due-bill period from July 15 through July 24, 2026, units traded in a range of roughly $0.58 to $0.77, reflecting the attached right to the final payment.

The quarterly picture is a sharper version of the same trend. From a close of $2.55 on April 24, 2026, to the final close of $0.5955 on July 24, 2026, units declined approximately 76.6%. The decline was not a single-day event; it reflected a gradual market repricing of a finite-life trust as its termination date approached.

What Drove MVO Stock Price in the Last 30 Days

The primary catalyst was the trust's announced termination. On July 2, 2026, the trustee announced that the net profits interest had terminated on June 30, 2026, because the minimum production threshold of 14.4 million barrels of oil equivalent had been produced and sold, equivalent to 11.5 million barrels with respect to the trust's 80% net profits interest. The trust therefore dissolved as of the termination date and began winding up its affairs.

The trustee declared a final distribution of $6,829,206, or $0.593844 per unit, to unitholders of record on July 15, 2026, payable July 24, 2026, and notified the NYSE of its intention to withdraw the listing. Because the payout represented more than 25% of the unit price when announced, NYSE rules required units to trade with due bills from July 15 through July 24, 2026, assigning the right to the distribution to buyers during that period. With the trust expected to pay no further distributions and the units expected to decline to zero by the time of the final distribution, the price reset accordingly.

What Drove MVO Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter

The broader three-month decline reflected the trust's finite structure. Unlike an operating energy company, MV Oil Trust was designed to terminate once a specified volume of production had been sold, and its unit price steadily adjusted as the trust moved closer to that endpoint. The trust had previously disclosed the June 30, 2026 termination date and the 14.4 MMBoe production threshold, and by late April 2026 units were already trading well below their 52-week high of $6.19 set in September 2025. During the final payment period, the underlying properties produced 140,993 barrels of oil equivalent at an average price of $91.58 per barrel of oil equivalent, generating final distributable cash of approximately $6.83 million. The July termination announcement then converted an anticipated wind-down into a concrete final payout and delisting schedule.

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MVO Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next

Because the trust has entered its wind-up phase, conventional equity drivers such as earnings, guidance, and production reports no longer apply. The key items to monitor are administrative rather than operational: completion of the trustee's wind-up process, cancellation of the units, and the timing of the SEC deregistration following the NYSE delisting. Unitholders should also confirm receipt of the final $0.593844-per-unit distribution and review any broker communications related to the due-bill settlement for trades made between July 15 and July 24, 2026. Once the wind-up is complete, the trust will pay no further distributions, and the units will have no remaining market value. This information is factual and does not constitute investment advice.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for MVO with price predictions
Aug 20, 2026

MVO's Stochastic Oscillator remains in oversold zone for 4 days

The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 07, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MVO as a result. In of 102 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MVO just turned positive on July 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where MVO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for MVO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on July 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MVO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for MVO entered a downward trend on August 20, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.737) is normal, around the industry mean (4.920). P/E Ratio (0.740) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.142). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.626). MVO's Dividend Yield (1.862) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.084). P/S Ratio (0.675) is also within normal values, averaging (5.623).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. MVO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MVO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 69, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

MVO paid dividends on July 24, 2026

MV Oil Trust MVO Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.59 per share was paid with a record date of July 24, 2026, and an ex-dividend date of July 15, 2026. Read more...
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), Canadian Natural Resources Limited (NYSE:CNQ), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE:OXY), Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ:FANG), Devon Energy Corp (NYSE:DVN), EQT Corp (NYSE:EQT), Expand Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:EXE), APA Corp (NASDAQ:APA), ANTERO RESOURCES Corp (NYSE:AR).

Industry description

The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil & Gas Production Industry is 10.49B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.28K to 156.87B. COP holds the highest valuation in this group at 156.87B. The lowest valued company is PSTRQ at 3.28K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was 5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 7%, and the average quarterly price growth was 7%. GLND experienced the highest price growth at 26%, while PROP experienced the biggest fall at -30%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was 23%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 0% and the average quarterly volume growth was -28%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 73
Profit Risk Rating: 69
Seasonality Score: 5 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a closed-end investment trust

Industry OilGasProduction

Profile
Details
Industry
Investment Trusts Or Mutual Funds
Address
601 Travis Street
Phone
+1 713 483-6020
Employees
N/A
Web
https://mvo.q4web.com/home/default.aspx
Why MV Oil Trust (MVO) Stock Is Down -59% in the Last 30 Days